MPs - First round of Indicative Votes: J

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The Most Vulnerable Remain Supporting MPs

408 of the UK’s 650 constituencies voted leave on 23rd June 2016. That is nearly 2 / 3 of all Parliamentary constituencies in the UK voting to leave.
In 388 constituencies the leave vote exceeded the vote for the sitting MP.

This analysis shows which of the MPs that opposed Leave in the referendum are the most vulnerable if they oppose, or water down, Brexit.

Research courtesy of the Brexit Alliance.

Parties:	Conservative (232)	Democratic Unionist Party (10)	Green Party (1)
Independent (7)	Independent Group (4)	Labour (13)	Liberal Democrat (4)
[All parties] (271)

MP / Constituency [Postcode lookup?]	Rating	Aye (21) No (232) Did not vote (40) All Votes (293)		Vulnerability
A B C D E F G H J K L M N P S T V W		Ranking	% of vote at last election	% for leave at referendum%



Peter Aldous, Waveney	9%		No	Conservative	37	42.35	63.21

Edward Argar, Charnwood	37%		No	Conservative	215	54.31	58.29

Victoria Atkins, Louth and Horncastle	35%		No	Conservative	39	51.17	69.43

Harriett Baldwin, West Worcestershire	13%		No	Conservative	268	56.09	52.58

Jake Berry, Rossendale and Darwen	15%		No	Conservative	120	46.60	58.59

Peter Bottomley, Worthing West	14%		No	Conservative	212	51.46	56.12

Robert Buckland, South Swindon	7%		No	Conservative	205	46.24	51.57

James Cartlidge, South Suffolk	21%		No	Conservative	241	53.07	54.15

Jo Churchill, Bury St Edmunds	40%		No	Conservative	249	53.61	53.74

Thérèse Coffey, Suffolk Coastal	15%		No	Conservative	226	51.90	55.82

Damian Collins, Folkestone and Hythe	7%		No	Conservative	101	47.85	61.84

Alberto Costa, South Leicestershire	7%		No	Conservative	203	53.22	58.22

Tracey Crouch, Chatham and Aylesford	31%		No	Conservative	92	50.18	64.75

Caroline Dinenage, Gosport	17%		No	Conservative	175	55.31	61.97

Michelle Donelan, Chippenham	47%		No	Conservative	216	47.56	52.33

Oliver Dowden, Hertsmere	35%		No	Conservative	282	59.28	50.84

Jackie Doyle-Price, Thurrock	15%		No	Conservative	1	33.68	70.26

Philip Dunne, Ludlow	14%		No	Conservative	208	54.29	58.58

Michael Ellis, Northampton North	16%		No	Conservative	65	42.37	60.69

David Evennett, Bexleyheath and Crayford	16%		No	Conservative	61	47.25	65.05

Michael Fallon, (no seat)	13%		No	Conservative	264	56.92	53.86

Kevin Foster, Torbay	40%		No	Conservative	32	40.66	62.66

Roger Gale, North Thanet	21%		No	Conservative	82	48.98	64.97

Mark Garnier, Wyre Forest	5%		No	Conservative	69	45.30	63.15

Nick Gibb, Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	14%		No	Conservative	105	51.33	64.22

John Glen, Salisbury	13%		No	Conservative	271	55.60	50.34

Robert Goodwill, Scarborough and Whitby	11%		No	Conservative	67	43.18	61.37

Helen Grant, Maidstone and The Weald	9%		No	Conservative	151	45.48	55.87

Andrew Griffiths, (no seat)	16%		No	Conservative	89	49.77	64.62

Robert Halfon, Harlow	15%		No	Conservative	38	48.86	68.02

Luke Hall, Thornbury and Yate	40%		No	Conservative	117	41.02	53.33

Mark Harper, Forest of Dean	21%		No	Conservative	137	46.83	58.07

Simon Hart, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire	8%		No	Conservative	131	43.68	55.37

James Heappey, Wells	44%		No	Conservative	189	46.13	53.49

Peter Heaton-Jones, (no seat)	35%		No	Conservative	104	42.70	57.04

George Hollingbery, (no seat)	14%		No	Conservative	280	61.06	52.93

Kevin Hollinrake, Thirsk and Malton	21%		No	Conservative	225	52.60	56.43

Robert Jenrick, Newark	39%		No	Conservative	252	57.04	55.75

Joseph Johnson, (no seat)	5%		No	Conservative	253	57.42	56.00

Marcus Jones, Nuneaton	11%		No	Conservative	47	45.52	64.75

Seema Kennedy, (no seat)	35%		No	Conservative	148	46.43	56.85

Julian Knight, Solihull	40%		No	Conservative	209	49.21	54.28

Pauline Latham, Mid Derbyshire	34%		No	Conservative	247	52.19	52.53

Ian Liddell-Grainger, Bridgwater and West Somerset	34%		No	Conservative	86	45.95	62.19

Alan Mak, Havant	49%		No	Conservative	126	51.66	62.45

Patrick McLoughlin, (no seat)	2%		No	Conservative	258	52.37	51.29

Mark Menzies, Fylde	16%		No	Conservative	186	49.14	56.56

Johnny Mercer, Plymouth, Moor View	47%		No	Conservative	12	37.60	66.44

Huw Merriman, Bexhill and Battle	47%		No	Conservative	230	54.77	57.68

Maria Miller, Basingstoke	13%		No	Conservative	210	48.55	53.64

Amanda Milling, Cannock Chase	47%		No	Conservative	18	44.19	68.86

David Morris, Morecambe and Lunesdale	11%		No	Conservative	113	45.54	58.91

James Morris, Halesowen and Rowley Regis	20%		No	Conservative	24	43.21	66.34

Wendy Morton, Aldridge-Brownhills	44%		No	Conservative	64	52.05	68.02

Jesse Norman, Hereford and South Herefordshire	20%		No	Conservative	172	52.57	60.15

Neil Parish, Tiverton and Honiton	13%		No	Conservative	224	54.00	57.63

John Penrose, Weston-super-Mare	8%		No	Conservative	169	47.96	56.66

Dan Poulter, Central Suffolk and North Ipswich	9%		No	Conservative	257	56.05	54.49

Rebecca Pow, Taunton Deane	21%		No	Conservative	214	48.11	52.92

Mark Pritchard, The Wrekin	21%		No	Conservative	167	49.69	58.25

Andrew Selous, South West Bedfordshire	15%		No	Conservative	220	54.99	58.61

Grant Shapps, Welwyn Hatfield	20%		No	Conservative	235	50.36	52.54

Alok Sharma, Reading West	8%		No	Conservative	211	47.69	52.68

Keith Simpson, (no seat)	9%		No	Conservative	231	50.50	54.06

Chris Skidmore, Kingswood	11%		No	Conservative	171	48.32	56.84

Chloe Smith, Norwich North	16%		No	Conservative	112	43.71	57.32

Mark Spencer, Sherwood	20%		No	Conservative	58	45.04	63.76

John Stevenson, Carlisle	1%		No	Conservative	88	44.32	60.49

Gary Streeter, South West Devon	-5%		No	Conservative	254	56.58	55.23

Mel Stride, Central Devon	11%		No	Conservative	256	52.23	51.18

Graham Stuart, Beverley and Holderness	22%		No	Conservative	145	48.15	58.79

Hugo Swire, (no seat)	8%		No	Conservative	228	46.42	50.46

Maggie Throup, Erewash	44%		No	Conservative	40	42.71	63.30

Kelly Tolhurst, Rochester and Strood	44%		No	Conservative	54	44.07	63.11

Justin Tomlinson, North Swindon	35%		No	Conservative	188	50.33	57.44

David Tredinnick, (no seat)	2%		No	Conservative	71	42.81	60.80

Shailesh Vara, North West Cambridgeshire	26%		No	Conservative	213	52.49	56.95

Ben Wallace, Wyre and Preston North	9%		No	Conservative	243	53.17	54.04

Matt Warman, Boston and Skegness	44%		No	Conservative	3	43.80	74.96

Helen Whately, Faversham and Mid Kent	49%		No	Conservative	217	54.35	58.22

Craig Whittaker, Calder Valley	25%		No	Conservative	176	43.62	51.74
81 entries listed

MP / Constituency [Postcode lookup?]

Rating

Aye (21)
No (232)
Did not vote (40)
All Votes (293)

Vulnerability

A B C D E F G H J K L M N P S T V W

Ranking

% of vote
at last election

% for leave
at referendum%

Peter Aldous, Waveney

Conservative

42.35

63.21

Edward Argar, Charnwood

37%

Conservative

215

54.31

58.29

Victoria Atkins, Louth and Horncastle

35%

Conservative

51.17

69.43

Harriett Baldwin, West Worcestershire

13%

Conservative

268

56.09

52.58

Jake Berry, Rossendale and Darwen

15%

Conservative

120

46.60

58.59

Peter Bottomley, Worthing West

14%

Conservative

212

51.46

56.12

Robert Buckland, South Swindon

Conservative

205

46.24

51.57

James Cartlidge, South Suffolk

21%

Conservative

241

53.07

54.15

Jo Churchill, Bury St Edmunds

40%

Conservative

249

53.61

53.74

Thérèse Coffey, Suffolk Coastal

15%

Conservative

226

51.90

55.82

Damian Collins, Folkestone and Hythe

Conservative

101

47.85

61.84

Alberto Costa, South Leicestershire

Conservative

203

53.22

58.22

Tracey Crouch, Chatham and Aylesford

31%

Conservative

50.18

64.75

Caroline Dinenage, Gosport

17%

Conservative

175

55.31

61.97

Michelle Donelan, Chippenham

47%

Conservative

216

47.56

52.33

Oliver Dowden, Hertsmere

35%

Conservative

282

59.28

50.84

Jackie Doyle-Price, Thurrock

15%

Conservative

33.68

70.26

Philip Dunne, Ludlow

14%

Conservative

208

54.29

58.58

Michael Ellis, Northampton North

16%

Conservative

42.37

60.69

David Evennett, Bexleyheath and Crayford

16%

Conservative

47.25

65.05

Michael Fallon, (no seat)

13%

Conservative

264

56.92

53.86

Kevin Foster, Torbay

40%

Conservative

40.66

62.66

Roger Gale, North Thanet

21%

Conservative

48.98

64.97

Mark Garnier, Wyre Forest

Conservative

45.30

63.15

Nick Gibb, Bognor Regis and Littlehampton

14%

Conservative

105

51.33

64.22

John Glen, Salisbury

13%

Conservative

271

55.60

50.34

Robert Goodwill, Scarborough and Whitby

11%

Conservative

43.18

61.37

Helen Grant, Maidstone and The Weald

Conservative

151

45.48

55.87

Andrew Griffiths, (no seat)

16%

Conservative

49.77

64.62

Robert Halfon, Harlow

15%

Conservative

48.86

68.02

Luke Hall, Thornbury and Yate

40%

Conservative

117

41.02

53.33

Mark Harper, Forest of Dean

21%

Conservative

137

46.83

58.07

Simon Hart, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire

Conservative

131

43.68

55.37

James Heappey, Wells

44%

Conservative

189

46.13

53.49

Peter Heaton-Jones, (no seat)

35%

Conservative

104

42.70

57.04

George Hollingbery, (no seat)

14%

Conservative

280

61.06

52.93

Kevin Hollinrake, Thirsk and Malton

21%

Conservative

225

52.60

56.43

Robert Jenrick, Newark

39%

Conservative

252

57.04

55.75

Joseph Johnson, (no seat)

Conservative

253

57.42

56.00

Marcus Jones, Nuneaton

11%

Conservative

45.52

64.75

Seema Kennedy, (no seat)

35%

Conservative

148

46.43

56.85

Julian Knight, Solihull

40%

Conservative

209

49.21

54.28

Pauline Latham, Mid Derbyshire

34%

Conservative

247

52.19

52.53

Ian Liddell-Grainger, Bridgwater and West Somerset

34%

Conservative

45.95

62.19

Alan Mak, Havant

49%

Conservative

126

51.66

62.45

Patrick McLoughlin, (no seat)

Conservative

258

52.37

51.29

Mark Menzies, Fylde

16%

Conservative

186

49.14

56.56

Johnny Mercer, Plymouth, Moor View

47%

Conservative

37.60

66.44

Huw Merriman, Bexhill and Battle

47%

Conservative

230

54.77

57.68

Maria Miller, Basingstoke

13%

Conservative

210

48.55

53.64

Amanda Milling, Cannock Chase

47%

Conservative

44.19

68.86

David Morris, Morecambe and Lunesdale

11%

Conservative

113

45.54

58.91

James Morris, Halesowen and Rowley Regis

20%

Conservative

43.21

66.34

Wendy Morton, Aldridge-Brownhills

44%

Conservative

52.05

68.02

Jesse Norman, Hereford and South Herefordshire

20%

Conservative

172

52.57

60.15

Neil Parish, Tiverton and Honiton

13%

Conservative

224

54.00

57.63

John Penrose, Weston-super-Mare

Conservative

169

47.96

56.66

Dan Poulter, Central Suffolk and North Ipswich

Conservative

257

56.05

54.49

Rebecca Pow, Taunton Deane

21%

Conservative

214

48.11

52.92

Mark Pritchard, The Wrekin

21%

Conservative

167

49.69

58.25

Andrew Selous, South West Bedfordshire

15%

Conservative

220

54.99

58.61

Grant Shapps, Welwyn Hatfield

20%

Conservative

235

50.36

52.54

Alok Sharma, Reading West

Conservative

211

47.69

52.68

Keith Simpson, (no seat)

Conservative

231

50.50

54.06

Chris Skidmore, Kingswood

11%

Conservative

171

48.32

56.84

Chloe Smith, Norwich North

16%

Conservative

112

43.71

57.32

Mark Spencer, Sherwood

20%

Conservative

45.04

63.76

John Stevenson, Carlisle

Conservative

44.32

60.49

Gary Streeter, South West Devon

-5%

Conservative

254

56.58

55.23

Mel Stride, Central Devon

11%

Conservative

256

52.23

51.18

Graham Stuart, Beverley and Holderness

22%

Conservative

145

48.15

58.79

Hugo Swire, (no seat)

Conservative

228

46.42

50.46

Maggie Throup, Erewash

44%

Conservative

42.71

63.30

Kelly Tolhurst, Rochester and Strood

44%

Conservative

44.07

63.11

Justin Tomlinson, North Swindon

35%

Conservative

188

50.33

57.44

David Tredinnick, (no seat)

Conservative

42.81

60.80

Shailesh Vara, North West Cambridgeshire

26%

Conservative

213

52.49

56.95

Ben Wallace, Wyre and Preston North

Conservative

243

53.17

54.04

Matt Warman, Boston and Skegness

44%

Conservative

43.80

74.96

Helen Whately, Faversham and Mid Kent

49%

Conservative

217

54.35

58.22

Craig Whittaker, Calder Valley

25%

Conservative

176

43.62

51.74

81 entries listed


Karen Bradley, Staffordshire Moorlands	-1%	Did not vote	Conservative	97	51.12	64.58
James Brokenshire, Old Bexley and Sidcup	1%	Did not vote	Conservative	128	52.80	63.16
Alun Cairns, Vale of Glamorgan	4%	Did not vote	Conservative	198	46.02	52.35
Stephen Crabb, Preseli Pembrokeshire	1%	Aye	Conservative	95	40.40	55.77
Jonathan Djanogly, Huntingdon	-18%	Aye	Conservative	248	53.02	53.27
Alan Duncan, (no seat)	5%	Did not vote	Conservative	259	55.64	53.96
Tobias Ellwood, Bournemouth East	1%	Did not vote	Conservative	223	49.21	53.51
George Freeman, Mid Norfolk	-11%	Aye	Conservative	163	52.11	60.58
Richard Graham, Gloucester	1%	Did not vote	Conservative	114	45.34	58.61
Damian Green, Ashford	-1%	Aye	Conservative	180	52.45	59.68
Matt Hancock, West Suffolk	3%	Did not vote	Conservative	119	52.17	63.26
Oliver Heald, North East Hertfordshire	-3%	Aye	Conservative	270	55.37	51.38
Nick Herbert, (no seat)	1%	Aye	Conservative	283	60.79	50.69
Simon Hoare, North Dorset	9%	Aye	Conservative	246	56.62	56.41
Nigel Huddleston, Mid Worcestershire	30%	Did not vote	Conservative	233	56.99	58.94
Sajid Javid, Bromsgrove	0%	Did not vote	Conservative	236	53.85	55.37
Eleanor Laing, Epping Forest	-3%	Did not vote	Conservative	185	54.77	61.07
Jeremy Lefroy, (no seat)	-9%	Aye	Conservative	166	48.41	57.22
Brandon Lewis, Great Yarmouth	2%	Did not vote	Conservative	10	42.93	71.50
David Lidington, (no seat)	2%	Did not vote	Conservative	239	50.67	52.10
Mark Pawsey, Rugby	-9%	Aye	Conservative	158	49.06	58.37
Claire Perry, (no seat)	2%	Did not vote	Conservative	274	57.74	51.46
Victoria Prentis, Banbury	16%	Aye	Conservative	262	53.01	50.54
Alec Shelbrooke, Elmet and Rothwell	0%	Did not vote	Conservative	178	48.41	56.36
Julian Smith, Skipton and Ripon	1%	Did not vote	Conservative	260	55.44	53.03
Caroline Spelman, (no seat)	-11%	Aye	Conservative	227	54.73	58.09
Elizabeth Truss, South West Norfolk	3%	Did not vote	Conservative	83	50.92	66.25
Tom Tugendhat, Tonbridge and Malling	35%	Did not vote	Conservative	276	59.41	52.59
Robin Walker, Worcester	14%	Did not vote	Conservative	173	45.32	53.68
Gavin Williamson, South Staffordshire	3%	Did not vote	Conservative	80	49.43	65.34